"13th Five-Year" China's energy production will show a green trend

Wu Yin, vice chairman of the China Energy Research Society and former deputy director of the National Energy Administration, believes that "13th Five-Year" China's energy production will show a green trend, low-carbon fossil energy, renewable energy will be rapid development, clean utilization of coal is the development trend, and the proportion of primary energy consumption will decline rapidly.

Wu Yin introduced that during the "Tenth Five-Year Plan" period, China's average annual energy consumption growth rate of 8.36%, the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" average annual growth rate of 6.65%, the first two years of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" growth rate of 5.51%, energy consumption growth rate of 3.9% in 2013, energy consumption growth rate has declined year by year. "The energy elasticity coefficient energy growth /GDP growth rate has also been declining, even lower than the level since the reform and opening up." At present, energy consumption in high-energy-consuming industries such as steel, building materials, cement and metallurgy accounts for half of the total. As energy-intensive industries enter a state of saturation, substantial growth in energy consumption is no longer possible. However, in the traditional energy overcapacity at the same time, domestic natural gas, nuclear power, hydropower and other clean energy shortages, low energy efficiency in industry, construction, transportation, there is still room for energy investment.

In terms of clean utilization of coal, Zhou Dadi believes that first of all, we should strengthen the emission reduction transformation of key coal-consuming industries, speed up the construction of desulfurization, denitrification and dust removal transformation projects in key industries such as thermal power, steel and cement, and increase the supervision of pollutant emissions. "In the past, the target of reducing domestic pollutants was about 10 percent every five years. In the future, emissions should be reduced by 20 to 30 percent, otherwise it will take 10 or 20 years to control air pollution."

In recent years, driven by the interests of a large amount of capital into the coal, power industry, affected by the macroeconomic downturn, coal overcapacity, oversupply is the most obvious situation. A number of coal practitioners told the 21st Century Business Herald reporter that they are ready to withdraw from Shanxi, Inner Mongolia and other resources, considering the transformation of the industry outside coal, or looking for investment projects overseas.